Epic Games has published the official odds for the Pirate Shop Access token in Fortnite Treasure Hunters. Every chest you open in a normal match has a 1 in 137,500 chance of dropping it, about 0.00073%. The token unlocks 14 days of free Item Shop claims, as covered in our Fortnite Pirate Shop guide.
Epic shared the numbers through the official Fortnite Status account on X on November 7, 2026, after a week of players demanding transparency. Chest drop rates have stayed constant since the Treasure Hunters mini-season launched on November 1 and don’t change by time of day. Saturday Treasure Hours are the only exception.
All Treasure Hunters chest drop rates
Pirate Shop Access is the second-rarest treasure this season. Only the Weekly Gold Outfit is harder to pull, and that slot rotates weekly, starting with Solid Gold A$AP Rocky.
| Treasure reward | Drop chance per chest |
|---|---|
| Weekly Gold Outfit | 1 in 1,562,500 |
| Pirate Shop Access | 1 in 137,500 |
| Weekly Vehicle and Decal | 1 in 7,813 |
| Weekly Pickaxe or Back Bling | 1 in 568 |
| Weekly Jam Track | 1 in 391 |
| Weekly Loading Screen | 1 in 272 |
| Any Gizmo | 1 in 127 |
How Treasure Hours boost your odds
Treasure Hours run every Saturday in two sessions: 11 AM to 1 PM PT (2 PM to 4 PM ET) and 6 PM to 8 PM PT (9 PM to 11 PM ET). A 1.5x boost lifts the token odds to about 1 in 91,667 per chest.
| Date | Pirate Shop boost | Odds per chest |
|---|---|---|
| November 7 (session 1) | 1.5x | 1 in 91,667 |
| November 7 (session 2) | 2x | 1 in 68,750 |
| November 14, 21, 28 | 1.5x, both sessions | 1 in 91,667 |
| December 5 | 1.5x, both sessions | 1 in 91,667 |
The 2x window on November 7 is the only one scheduled so far, and it has passed. That same evening, the Weekly Gold Outfit got a 10x boost, bringing its odds to 1 in 156,250.
What 1 in 137,500 means in actual chests
Every chest is an independent roll, and there’s no pity timer. Here’s your chance of finding at least one token after a set number of chests:
| Odds | After 1,000 chests | After 10,000 chests | Chests for a 50% chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Normal (1 in 137,500) | 0.73% | 7.0% | ~95,300 |
| Treasure Hour 1.5x | 1.09% | 10.3% | ~63,500 |
| Treasure Hour 2x | 1.44% | 13.5% | ~47,700 |
Squads change this math. When one teammate finds the token, every squad member gets Pirate Shop Access, so each chest your team opens counts as a roll for you. Treasure Hours also cut the chests needed for coin-flip odds by roughly a third, which makes Saturday sessions in a full squad the most efficient way to hunt. Our Pirate Shop token farming guide covers chest routes.
Rumors the official numbers rule out
The 1 in 700,000 figure that spread before Epic’s post made the token about 5 times rarer than it really is. The community estimate of 1 in 2,000, posted by X user Blortzen, was roughly 69 times too generous.
Epic’s post also kills the theories that the token was quietly nerfed or that rates vary by hour. On November 3, Epic called paid accounts and farming tools a scam and said every player has an equal chance.
Signing off
Four boosted Saturdays remain: November 14, 21 and 28, plus December 5, when the mini-season ends. If you find the token, activate the 2026 window by December 15, 2026. The 2027 window runs from January 1 to December 15, 2027. Pair your squad with the right Fortune Sprite variant to open more chests per match.
Have you found the Pirate Shop token yet? Let us know in the comments below.
Epic confirms a 1 in 137,500 chance per chest in a normal match, or about 0.00073%.
No number guarantees it. At normal odds, you need about 95,300 chests for a 50% chance, or about 63,500 during 1.5x Treasure Hours.
November 14, 21 and 28 and December 5. Each Saturday has sessions from 2 to 4 PM ET and 9 to 11 PM ET, both with a 1.5x token boost.
Yes. Every squad member receives Pirate Shop Access when a teammate finds the token.
No. Epic never confirmed that number, and the official odds are about five times better.
